Trump/Democrats DACA deal could ouster Speaker Paul Ryan

The fact is that Dream Act and DACA are completely two different issues.

Trump/Democrats DACA Deal

Trump agreed to protect DACA but no agreement on any amnesty. DACA could now be legalized by Congress but can still be kicked down the road. In a way the President is not giving away anything more then what DACA recipients already enjoy under Obama. Steve Bannon is right that if DACA recipient were smart they would self deport and at the same time start their legal immigration application so that they can at least be on the queue. It is clear that which ever path Congress tries to provide to DACA recipients, they are not going to be allowed to get any citizenship or least not before 2020 or 2024 because it could seriously affect those Presidential elections.

Dream Act

The Dream Act is a legislation Sens. Richard Durbin (D-Ill.) and Lindsey O. Graham (R-S.C.) have previously introduced. It would offer dreamers a path to citizenship. That bill, however, is expected to be far larger than the number of those who have DACA protections.  It is likely to face even stronger Republican opposition. It is therefore highly unlikely that the Dream Act will ever see the light of day.  Offering a pathway to citizenship to 11 million illegal immigrants could seriously tip the delicate demographics against the Republicans.

Democratic leaders announced late Wednesday that they agreed with President Trump to pursue a legislative deal that would protect hundreds of thousands of young undocumented immigrants from deportation and enact border security measures that don’t include building a physical wall. That announcement is not wrong from their perspective. From the president’s perspective, he is still going to fund the wall but without Democrat support. There are GOP plans to start funding the wall in stages or at least start the process.

Trump Strategy

Right now what Trump needs to have is both the Democrats and Republican working on their respective plans. He will then be in a position to pick and chose which plan or any compromised combination would be in the best interest of the American People. He has learned his lesson that relying only on the Republicans is a very risky proposition because of some radical disruptors like John McCain and other grandstanders.

Promise to Conservative Base

Rep. Steve King (R-Iowa), warns that the “base is blown up, destroyed, irreparable, and disillusioned beyond repair. No promise is credible”. Breibart News criticizes the President as an ‘Amnesty Don’. These are however clearly overreactions. President Trump will have to carefully navigate DACA proposal suggesting any form of amnesty or pathway to citizenship. There are millions of American families and their children who are struggling to pay for college and university. Any suggestion that these DACA recipients are not affecting American jobs and American families would be downright dishonest and disingenuous. Trump will have to find a way of meeting every American family’s needs first and foremost before he could even agree to make any concessions to DACA recipients. The simple truth is that he will be violating his own campaign slogan of taking care of Americans First and Making America Great Again.

Separately President Trump is also asking Democrats to support the Raise Act, introduced by Republican Sens. Tom Cotton (Ark.) and David Perdue (Ga.), which would help to slash legal immigration levels by half over the coming decade.

Ouster of Paul Ryan

The DACA discussions between Democrats and Republican leadership,  puts Paul D. Ryan (R-Wis.)  in an increasingly precarious position. He is already facing growing pressure from House conservatives who question his leadership and have floated names of possible replacement as speaker. An agreement between Trump and Democrats on a bill to protect DACA recipients  could potentially put Ryan in the position of having to decide whether to bring it for a vote with the prospects that it might pass with more Democratic support than his own GOP members. This outcome will essentially end the political career of Paul Ryan and which President Trump would silently welcome.

Article source: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2017/09/13/trump-top-democrats-agree-to-work-on-deal-to-save-daca/

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